By Koefy Team
Spot +EV prices on moneyline markets with consensus-based edge badges in the event list and event detail views.
What's new
- Value bet badges on event lists, favorites, live events, and event detail pages (moneyline / H2H markets)
- Edge percentage shown on each flagged offer — e.g.
+4.25% - Detail breakdown with fair odds, fair probability, expected value, and how many bookmakers contributed to the consensus
- In-app explainer — hover the info icon to see how the fair line and edge are calculated
Why it matters
Arbitrage finds guaranteed profit across outcomes. Value bets are different: they highlight prices that look better than the market consensus — positive expected value (+EV), but not a sure thing.
Koefy builds a fair line from other bookmakers in the same market and region:
- For each bookmaker with a complete market, we remove the margin so implied probabilities sum to 100%
- We take the median fair probability across those books
- Edge =
(fair probability × odds − 1) × 100%
If an offer shows a positive edge, that price is ahead of the consensus fair line.
Where to find it
Open any event in the dashboard and look for the amber value bet badge on moneyline offers. Pro subscribers get full access; value bet indicators are included in Pro alongside arbitrage and historical odds.
Related
- Tags: value-bets, odds-comparison, pro